It’s that time of year when everybody attempts to predict the results of this evening’s Oscar ceremony.
It some ways it is a tricky thing to do. Outside of the fact that no one really understands the differences between sound mixing and sound editing.
Do you say who you think should win or do you try and predict who the Academy will vote for (anybody who’s white essentially).
So therefore each category will have three answers; who will win, who should win and where appropriate who should have been nominated… with the exception of the short film categories which will be predicted using the same technique as placing a bet on the Grand National i.e. which one has the best name!
Best Animated Short Film
Bear Story, Prologue (predicted winner), Sanjay’s Super Team, We Can’t Live Without Cosmos, World Of Tomorrow
Best Live Action Short Film
Ave Maria, Day One, Everything Will Be Okay (Alles WirdGut) (predicted winner), Shok, Stutterer
Visual Effects
Ex_Machina, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Martian, The Revenant, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Will win – Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Should win – Ex_Machina
Sound Mixing
Bridge Of Spies, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Martian, The Revenant, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Will win – Mad Max: Fury Road
Should win – Mad Max: Fury Road
Sound Editing
Mad Max: Fury Road, The Martian, The Revenant, Sicario, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Will win – Mad Max: Fury Road
Should win – Mad Max: Fury Road
Adapted Screenplay
The Big Short, Brooklyn, Carol, The Martian, Room
Will win – The Big Short
Should win – The Big Short
Should have been nominated (and won) – Steve Jobs
Original Screenplay
Bridge Of Spies, Ex_Machina, Inside Out, Spotlight, Straight Outta Compton
Will win – Spotlight
Should win – Ex_Machina
Should have been nominated – The Hateful Eight (Quentin Tarantino)
Production Design
Bridge Of Spies, The Danish Girl, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Martian, The Revenant
Will win – Mad Max: Fury Road
Should win – Mad Max: Fury Road
Should have been nominated – Crimson Peak
Original Song
Earned It – Fifty Shades Of Grey, Manta Ray – Racing Extinction, Simple Song 3 – Youth, Til It Happens To You – The Hunting Ground, Writing’s On The Wall – SPECTRE
Will win - Til It Happens To You (The Hunting Ground)
Should win – Simple Song 3 (Youth)
Should have been nominated – See You Again (Fast & Furious 7)
Original Score
Bridge Of Spies, Carol, The Hateful Eight, Sicario, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Will win – The Hateful Eight
Should win – Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Should have been nominated – It Follows and Mad Max: Fury Road
Make up & Hair
Mad Max: Fury Road, The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out Of A Window And Disappeared, The Revenant
Will win – Mad Max: Fury Road
Should win – Mad Max: Fury Road
Should have been nominated – Crimson Peak
Foreign Language Film
Embrace Of The Serpent, Mustang, Son Of Saul (predicted winner), Theeb, A War
Animated Feature Film
Anomalisa, Boy And The World, Inside Out, Shaun The Sheep, When Marnie Was There
Will win – Inside Out
Should win – Inside Out
Editing
The Big Short, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Revenant, Spotlight, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Will win – Mad Max: Fury Road
Should win – Mad Max: Fury Road
Documentary Short Film
Body Term 12 (predicted winner), Chau Beyond The Lines, Claude Lanzmann: Spectres Of The Shoah, The Girl On The River: The Place Of Forgiveness, Last Day Of Freedom
Documentary Feature
Amy, Cartel Land, The Look Of Silence, What Happened Miss Simone?, Winter On Fire: Ukraine’s Fight For Freedom
Will win – The Look Of Silence
Should win – The Look Of Silence
Directing
The Big Short, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Revenant, Room, Spotlight
Will win – Alejandro G. Inarritu, The Revenant
Should win – Alejandro G. Inarritu, The Revenant
Should have been nominated – Ridley Scott, The Martian
Costume Design
Carol, Cinderella, The Danish Girl, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Revenant
Will win – Mad Max: Fury Road
Should win – Mad Max: Fury Road
Should have been nominated – Crimson Peak
Cinematography
Carol, The Hateful Eight, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Revenant, Sicario
Will win – The Revenant.
Should win – The Revenant.
Sorry Roger Deakins, 13th time unlucky as Emmanuel Lubezkiwill make it three Oscars in a row.
Should have been nominated – This is actually the only category where the five nominated films are the five best shot films of the year.
Best Actress In A Supporting Role
Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight), Rooney Mara (Carol), Rachel McAdams (Spotlight), Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl), Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)
Will win – Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)
Should win – Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs). Only saying Winslet should win as Vikander and Mara should have been nominated in the lead actress category
Should have been nominated – Cynthia Nixon (James White)
Best Actor In A Supporting Role
Christian Bale (The Big Short), Tom Hardy (The Revenant), Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight), Mark Rylance (Bridge Of Spies), Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
Will win – Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
Should win – Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight)
Should have been nominated – Benicio Del Toro (Sicario) or Samuel L. Jackson (The Hateful Eight)
Best Actress In A Leading Role
Cate Blanchett (Carol), Brie Larson (Room), Jennifer Lawrence (Joy), Charlotte Rampling (45 Years), SaiorseRonan (Brooklyn)
Will win – Brie Larson (Room)
Should win – Brie Larson (Room)
Should have been nominated – Charlize Theron (Mad Max: Fury Road) or Emily Blunt (Sicario)
Best Actor In A Leading Role
Bryan Cranston (Trumbo), Matt Damon (The Martian), Leonardo DiCaprio (Steve Jobs), Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)
Will win – Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
Should win – Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
Best Picture
The Big Short, Bridge Of Spies, Brooklyn, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Martian, The Revenant, Room, Spotlight
Will win – The Revenant
Should win – Mad Max: Fury Road
Should have been nominated – Carol or Star Wars: The Force Awakens. Coming off the back of the awful prequels, the fact that it was so nostalgic yet set the bar high for the future meant it was deserving of a nomination.