Wednesday, 3 January 2018

Golden Globe Predictions 2018

The Golden Globes are this Sunday and it is time for my annual attempt at predicting the winners. This year more than any will be difficult to do as the majority of the films have not yet received a UK release, which means that I will have to rely on guess work rather than actual opinion in most cases... although public opinion and critics views often can amount to nothing when it comes to the Globes!

Expect the ceremony and speeches to be more important and talked about than the actual results.

Best Picture - Drama

  • Call Me By Your Name
  • Dunkirk
  • The Post
  • The Shape Of Water - WINNER
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

The Post is the most topical film but The Shape Of The Water is the most nominated film on the night so my vote goes to Del Toro's unconventional love story.

Best Picture - Comedy or Musical

  • The Disaster Artist
  • Get Out - WINNER
  • The Greatest Showman
  • I, Tonya
  • Lady Bird

The Globe will come down to two of the best reviewed films Lady Bird and Get Out. Get Out is "The Martian" of the category and this could tip the odds in its favour so expect it to win on the night.

Best Actress - Drama

  • Jessica Chastain - Molly's Game
  • Sally Hawkins - The Shape Of Water
  • Frances McDormand - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri - WINNER
  • Meryl Streep - The Post
  • Michelle Williams - All The Money In The World

Hawkins is the front runner on paper but expect McDormand's foulmouthed tour-de-force performance to scoop the gong.

Best Actress - Comedy or Musical

  • Judi Dench - Victoria & Abdul
  • Margot Robbie - I, Tonya - WINNER
  • Saiorse Ronan - Lady Bird
  • Emma Stone - Battle Of The Sexes
  • Helen Mirren - The Leisure Seeker

Dames Mirren and Dench don't stand a chance but receive their obligatory nominations anyway. The odds are in favour of Saiorse Ronan but I have a feeling Margot Robbie will sweep in with a crowbar and take the victory from under Ronan's feet.

Best Actor - Drama
  • Timothee Chalamet - Call Me By Your Name
  • Daniel Day-Lewis - Phantom Thread
  • Tom Hanks - The Post
  • Gary Oldman - The Darkest Hour - WINNER
  • Denzel Washington - Roman J. Israel, Esq
I could see the Globes giving the award to Day-Lewis as a glorious farewell, if the rumours of retirement are true, but the money seems to be on Oldman's cigar and scenery-chewing turn as Churchill which wins the bonus points of playing a real life person.

Best Actor - Comedy or Musical

  • Steve Carell - Battle Of The Sexes
  • Ansel Elgort - Baby Driver
  • James Franco - The Disaster Artist - WINNER
  • Hugh Jackman - The Greatest Showman
  • Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out

Can't see anyone but Franco taking this one due to his total commitment of transforming into Tommy Wiseau.

Best Director

  • Guillermo Del Toro - The Shape Of Water - WINNER
  • Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk
  • Ridley Scott - All The Money In The World
  • Steven Spielberg - The Post

Given the current political climate in Hollywood, it would be tempting for them to award Ridley Scott for managing to recast and reshoot Spacey's role in just a few weeks before release, but I think that Del Toro will take the prize.

Best Supporting Actress

  • Mary J. Blige - Mudbound
  • Hong Chau - Downsizing
  • Alison Janney - I, Tonya
  • Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird - WINNER
  • Octavia Spencer - The Shape Of Water

I haven't seen any of these films so going to have to go with the popular opinion on this one with Laurie Metcalf in Lady Bird but Janney could run her close from what I have seen in the trailers for I, Tonya.

Best Supporting Actor

  • Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
  • Armie Hammer - Call Me By Your Name
  • Richard Jenkins - The Shape Of Water
  • Christopher Plummer - All The Money In The World - WINNER
  • Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
This is a year where Dafoe, Rockwell or Hammer could easily win and be worthy winners but I can't see anyone but Plummer winning due to the incredible story that goes with his late replacement taking over from Spacey.

Best Original Score

  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • The Shape Of Water
  • Phantom Thread
  • The Post
  • Dunkirk - WINNER
Fully expect Hans Zimmer's score that drives the entire movie forward and had audiences' knuckles turning white with tension to win.

Best Screenplay
  • The Shape Of Water
  • Lady Bird
  • The Post
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri - WINNER
  • Molly's Game
Not surprised to see Sorkin nominated but McDonagh's scripts are always incredibly quotable so Three Billboards will win One Globe.

Best Foreign Language Film
  • A Fantastic Woman
  • First They Killed My Father
  • In The Fade
  • Loveless
  • The Square - WINNER
Having not seen any of the nominated films, picking the winner of the Palme D'Or The Square.

Best Animated Film
  • The Boss Baby
  • The Breadwinner
  • Ferdinand
  • Coco
  • Loving Vincent - WINNER
Going for a punt with Loving Vincent. Not your traditional nominee but would be a worthy winner.

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